Hi, I am Carolanne, an undergraduate student in philosophy at the University of Chicago. I enjoy reading, writing, arguing with friends, and meeting new people. To this end, feel free to reach out / meet with me here.
Manifest is an annual conference about prediction markets and forecasting, in 2026, I was one of the 2 organizers responsible for making the conference happen. See an incomplete write-up of everything I’ve learned from running Manifest here; For references, talk to Austin Chen.
Speakers & guests included Chad Jones, Chris Best, Danielle Fong, David Oks, David Shor, Emmett Shear, Gwern, Noam Brown, Owain Evans, Patrick Mckenzie, Richard Ngo, Robin Hanson, Scott Alexander, and more.
Some of my favorite sessions included The Train to Crazytown with Richard Chappell; Debate on whether prediction markets are good for anything with Marcus Abramovich and Stephen Grugett; Discussion on Decision Theory with Eliezer Yudkowsky & Kenny Easwaran; and Scott Alexander’s investigation into the “sun miracle”.
You can see the recording for many sessions on our Youtube channel.
